Monday 12 October 2009

Katarina Srebotnik v Carla Suarez Navarro

Trying something a little different for the last WTA match of the day. Laying the server to try and build some green as I feel this may be a bit of a break fest. I know a lot of people do this and over trade so really it's for experimental purposes and just using £100 stake to start with here.

Navarro serving firts so:
176.88 KS
-99.99 CSN

Well stuffed up already as firefox crashed on me :( I see Srebotnik had 2bp's but it was 1-0 40-Adv by the time my system was back up again :( And there's the 1st break and I'm on the wrong side of it!!!

God damn computers!!!

Gonna have to try and work it from here then I guess.

0*-3 -99.99 KS -44.62 CSN
1-3* 105.08 KS -99.99 CSN
2*-3 -99.99 KS -7.71 CSN 2nd break but got that one fortunately
2-4* 262.79 KS -99.57 CSN 3rd break :) Keep 'em coming!!
2*-5 -99.99 KS -30.64 CSN
2-6* 362.34 KS -99.99 CSN 4th break Really should have been in clover here but a break 1st game here should sort me out.

1*-0 -99.99 KS 15.60 CSN 5th Break.
1-1* 20.01 KS 0.00 CSN 6th Break keeping stake out now.
1*-2 0.00 KS 1.80 CSN
1-3* 45.00 KS 0.00 CSN 7th Break
1*-4 Not much point switching as odds only 1.01
2-4* Still same position
3*-4 0.00 KS 5.40 CSN 8th Break
3-5* 270.00 KS 0.00 CSN 9th Break
4*-5 24.55 on Both sit and wait to see if we get a 3rd set now. 10th Break
4-6 GSM 11th break. If only I'd a) Not had a computer stuff up and b) kept the £100 liability I could have made a packet there!!!

Suarez Navarro Wins 6-2 6-4
Profit: £24.54

Lucie Hradecka v Ioana Raluca Olaru

Score is 2-6 5*-2 Lucie serving for the set but odds of 1.90 reflect she has already won the set imho. Thus hoping for a chance of a free bet. We may get a break here!!

Back Ioana Raluca Olaru 1.9 £156.64 £140.98
Ref: 9164151871 Bet matched:16:02 12-Oct-09
1.9 £5.16 £4.64
Ref: 9164151871 Bet matched:16:02 12-Oct-09
1.9 £154.91 £139.42
Ref: 9164151871 Bet matched:16:02 12-Oct-09
1.92 £6.73 £6.19
Ref: 9164151871 Bet matched:16:02 12-Oct-09


Now I'm confused 30-30 and odds out to 2.10 on Olaru??????
BP and still higher than 0-0????????
Deuce again and Lucie still odds on!!! Am I missing something here????

Holds and takes the set now 1-1 Odds 1.89 on Lucie.
Now I see Meusburger v U Rad is starting!!! I wanted to back Rad from the off and assumed it was on after this!!! Well I guess it's true what they say about making an ass of you and me :(

So confused by odds here!!! Betfair has Lucie at 1.90 yet you can back her at 2.10 on Bet365??? wher Olaru is at 1.66!!!

Odds coming back 1.97 on Olaru before a ball has been hit in final set!

0*-1 Holds from Deuce Odds 1.82 Should probably get out as it was only a free bet but lets see if we can nick a break and a few extra quid ;) odds 1.82 Olaru

Darn I see Radwansk already in to 1.21 from 1.5 sp :(

Meanwhile back at the ranch ;) 15-30 c'mon Ioana! Deuce. BP Take It!!!!
Yes!!!!!

0-2* Can she consolidate it???? Don't care actually out at 1.33

Lay Ioana Raluca Olaru 1.33 £140.47 £186.83 £46.36
Ref: 9164467208 Bet matched: 16:27 12-Oct-09
1.33 £2.00 £2.66 £0.66
Ref: 9164467208 Bet matched: 16:27 12-Oct-09
1.33 £20.00 £26.60 £6.60
Ref: 9164467208 Bet matched: 16:27 12-Oct-09
1.33 £2.80 £3.72 £0.92
Ref: 9164467208 Bet matched: 16:27 12-Oct-09
1.33 £1.87 £2.49 £0.62
Ref: 9164467208 Bet matched: 16:27 12-Oct-09
1.33 £1.87 £2.49 £0.62
Ref: 9164467208 Bet matched: 16:27 12-Oct-09
1.33 £11.10 £14.76 £3.66
Ref: 9164467208 Bet matched: 16:27 12-Oct-09
1.33 £2.00 £2.66 £0.66
Ref: 9164467208 Bet matched: 16:27 12-Oct-09
1.33 £7.00 £9.31 £2.31
Ref: 9164467208 Bet matched: 16:27 12-Oct-09
1.33 £93.44 £124.28 £30.84
Ref: 9164467208 Bet matched: 16:27 12-Oct-09
1.33 £126.57 £168.34 £41.77
Ref: 9164467208 Bet matched: 16:27 12-Oct-09
1.33 £53.04 £70.54 £17.50
Ref: 9164467208 Bet matched: 16:27 12-Oct-09



£133.03 on Both

1*-2 Break back. That's why greed is not good but green is :)
1-3* break fest now :)

Olaru wins 6-2 2-6 6-1
Profit: £133.03

Fabio Fognini v Ernest Gulbis

Score is 7-6 1-0* when I get on at 1.87.

Fabio Fognini 1.87 £181.50 £157.91
Ref: 9163178249 Bet matched: 14:42 12-Oct-09


2*-0 Woohoo great timing Foggy breaks straight away to 15!!!! Odds 1.30ish
Uh oh 0-15!! Now 15-30 :( Hold Fabio!!! Phew holds to 30 Odds 1.28
3-0* Another break? Or trust him to serve for the rest of the set?
15-30 c'mon 2 more!!!! 15-40 Take ITTTTTT!!!!!! Yessss Break to 15!!
4*-0 Odds 1.03 and I'm out!!!

Lay Fabio Fognini 1.03 £329.52 £9.89
Ref: 9163293262 Bet matched: 14:52 12-Oct-09


£141.95 on Both :)

5-0* Hold to Love I think. sb a bit slow so not 100% sure :( Odds 1.02
5*-1 Hold to 40. Gulbis avoids the bagel.... Just!
5-2* 30-40!!! Comeback???? LOL And Break!!! :o
5*-3 Hold to Love! Will he choke?????
GSM

Fognini wins 7-6(3) 6-3
Profit: £141.95

I've won on a match involving an Italian!!! On a Monday!!! ;)

Petra Kvitova v Andrea Petkovic

Slight change of tactics here. Laying Kvitova when 4-1 up in the 1st set at 1.19.
Figure the odds reflect the fact the set is almost won yet it certainly is not so looking for a bvit of a fight back from Petkovic. Only concern is she is carying an injury but hey ho !!!

Lay Petra Kvitova 1.19 £9.34 £11.11 £1.77
Ref: 9162576317 Bet matched: 13:51 12-Oct-09
1.19 £384.01 £456.97 £72.96
Ref: 9162576317 Bet matched: 13:51 12-Oct-09
1.19 £128.81 £153.28 £24.47
Ref: 9162576317 Bet matched: 13:50 12-Oct-09
1.19 £1.87 £2.23 £0.36
Ref: 9162576317 Bet matched: 13:50 12-Oct-09
1.19 £404.60 £481.47 £76.87
Ref: 9162576317 Bet matched: 13:50 12-Oct-09


30-40 Take it!!!! Deuce :( And holds :(

5-1* Now if you are thinking of retiring do it now please or hold!!! Those are your only two options please :)

6-1 Had 15-40 and saved them both!! :) GP! deuce #2 :( Another bp!! ffs :( Set Kvitova :( Odds 1.16

Kvitova to serve first this set an early break and we may see some market adjustment in my favour. Just a few ticks would be nice :)

1-0* Holds to 30. Now hold Andrea please. Odds 1.13 :(
1*-1 Had 015 and 30-30 2nd serve but holds to 30. Odds 1.16 are very low!! C'mon the break and market panic please :)
2-1* 0-15!!! 15-30!! 2 more c'mon!! Deuce 2nd serve!! Holds :( Odds 1.17 they gotts sart rising soon if Petkovic can keep holding!!!
2*-2 Holds to 15 Odds starting to creep up 1.25 now. Let's have a break!!!
3-2* Hold to love :( Odds 1.17 can Pet keep holding is my worry now!!
3*-3 From 40-0 to Deuce!!! FFs! But Holds!! Phew Odds 1.28 Now break her!!! Please :)
4-3* Holds to 15. Trying to get out now @1.20 as don't trust her :(

Back Petra Kvitova 1.16 £15.48 £2.48
Ref: 9163037179 Bet matched:14:30 12-Oct-09
1.17 £94.80 £16.12
Ref: 9163037179 Bet matched:14:30 12-Oct-09
1.17 £31.64 £5.38
Ref: 9163037179 Bet matched:14:30 12-Oct-09
1.2 £50.00 £10.00
Ref: 9163020953 Bet matched:14:29 12-Oct-09
1.2 £9.34 £1.87
Ref: 9163020953 Bet matched:14:29 12-Oct-09
1.2 £9.34 £1.87
Ref: 9163020953 Bet matched:14:29 12-Oct-09
1.2 £622.31 £124.46
Ref: 9163020953 Bet matched:14:29 12-Oct-09
1.2 £59.80 £11.96
Ref: 9163020953 Bet matched:14:29 12-Oct-09
1.2 £18.69 £3.74
Ref: 9163020953 Bet matched:14:29 12-Oct-09


£1.37 Kvitova
£16.52 Petkovic


4*-4 should have kept the faith :(

Even green book:
£5.04 on both


5-4* Holds from Deuce Odds 1.19
3MP's Kvitova!!!

Kvitova Wins 6-1 6-4
Profit: £5.04

Martin Vassalo Arguello v Rainer Schuettler

4-6 6-3 5*-6 15-0 when I get on at 1.78
Free game here for Schuettler c'mon the break for GSM

Back Rainer Schuettler 1.78 £100.94 £78.73
Ref: 9162291281 Bet matched:13:21 12-Oct-09


TIebreak start with a hold please

0**-1 Now two MB please :)
0*-2 Get in!!! Now another please :)
1-2** OK 2 strong holds please
1-3* There's 1 now another!!
1**-4 Now at least 1 more MB so you're serving for the match!!
2*-4 This one then c'mon Rainer!!!
2-5** YESSSSS Now serve it out Rainer please!!!! :)
2-6* 4 MP's !!!!! C'mon Take It!!!!!!
2-7 Get in!!!!

Schuettler Wins 6-4 3-6 7-6(2)
Profit: £75.50


Always good to get straight back on the horse after a loss ;)

Mischa Zverev v Fernando Gonzalez

Got on at 7-5 5-4* Zverev serving to stay in the match @1.09 C'mon the break!!!

Back Fernando Gonzalez 1.09 £668.76 £60.19
Ref: 9162003839 Bet matched:12:31 12-Oct-09


5*-5 Hold to love :( Don't stuff up now Fernando!!
6-5* Hold to 15. Free game here Gonzo pile on the pressure please :)
15-15 c'mon Gonzo 3 more pts
15-30 LOL Lucky git :)
30-30 c'mon 2 more points Gonzo :)
40-30 :(

Tiebreak!!
Gonzo to serve first hold MB, MB would be a nice start ;) Odds 1.13
0-1** FFS :( Odds 1.18 MB back then please!!
0-2* Gonzo should have had that point :(
0**-3 Lucky net cord!! Sometimes it just doesn't go your way :(
0*-4 Double Fault Gonzo you muppet!!
0-5** Another Double Fault WTF is he doing??????
0-6* :( Odds 1.44
0-7 1 set all :( Odds 1.40 ish

I feel this deciding set is tighter than the odds suggest so full bank switch to Zverev here at 1.38.

Lay Fernando Gonzalez 1.38 £10.65 £14.70 £4.05
Ref: 9162066449 Bet matched: 12:43 12-Oct-09
1.38 £180.54 £249.15 £68.61
Ref: 9162066449 Bet matched: 12:43 12-Oct-09
1.38 £3.74 £5.16 £1.42
Ref: 9162066449 Bet matched: 12:43 12-Oct-09
1.38 £5.00 £6.90 £1.90
Ref: 9162066449 Bet matched: 12:42 12-Oct-09
1.38 £93.44 £128.95 £35.51
Ref: 9162066449 Bet matched: 12:42 12-Oct-09
1.38 £112.13 £154.74 £42.61
Ref: 9162066449 Bet matched: 12:42 12-Oct-09
1.38 £1,510.29 £2,084.20 £573.91
Ref: 9162066449 Bet matched: 12:42 12-Oct-09


Zverev serving first strong hold please Mischa!!

Had 30-40 But Zverev save it with a serve and volley

Oh FFS Zverev gone down injured here!!! Not looking good :( Odds 1.05!! If only I'd waited :( It's only his right hand and he's a leftie c'mon play on and win you git! Odds are never gonna go out enough now for me to get out which was my intention. Do I just cut my losses and live to fight another day? Commentator such a ramper saying there's no way he can play on!!! Must be on Gonzo!!

Here we go deuce and playing on!!! Hold now!!!
Woohoo holds!!! Odds 1.22

1-0* Now the break!!! :)
15-30 c'mon I could have been out now if wasn't for injury but odds only 1.24!! :(
1*-1 Holds to 30 :( I'm gutted there would have benn out and clear there :( Odds 1.14!!

2-1* Holds to 30 receiving more treatment, c'mon the break!! Odds 1.19
2*-2 Hold to love c'mon Zverev!!! Odds 1.14 :(
0-30 :( 30-30 c'mon hold Mischa!! 30-40 Not good :( SAVED!!! More serve and volley please Mischa!! BP#2 SAVED :) Again the net game!! GP!! Deuce :( It's lobs against volleys!!

NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Retired :( FFS

DO I NOT LIKE MONDAYS!!!!!! :(

Gonzalez wins 7-5 6(0)-7 2-2 ret'd
Loss: £667.81

Lukasz Kubot v Stanislas Wawrinka (Tennis)

The score is 6-2 2-2* Kubot leads. Just held after a bit of a wobble going to deuce. To me though the odds just reflect incredible value so I'm piling on at 1.95.

Back Lukasz Kubot 1.95 £2.00 £1.90
Ref: 9161456637 Bet matched:10:18 12-Oct-09
1.95 £564.65 £536.42
Ref: 9161456637 Bet matched:10:18 12-Oct-09


Hoping fro a quick break! :)

2*-3 Easy hold for stan :( Odds 1.92 on Stan.
Getting a little nervous as to Kubot dropping his level a tad here.

3-3* Hold to 15 from 0-15 there c'mon the break please :) Odds 1.85 on Kubot
3*-4 Hold to love. Impressive from Stan. Stay with him Kubot and the pressure will build on him shortly. Odds 1.93 on Stan.
4-4* Stan had 15-30 but Kubot held from there. Now apply some pressure Kubot
4*-5 Holds to 15 :( Do not give away the set now Lukasz!!! Odds 1.92 on Stan
Very tempted to switch the way Kubot's service games haveHad some of my lay taken been going but I'll hold position for now, do not punish me for my faith please!
5-5* Hold to 30 c'mon the break now!!!! Odds 1.88 on Kubot.

5*-6 0-15 C'mon!! pfft 15-15 maybe should have greened up there for £90 on each nevermind. 2 2nd serves and not in the point 40-15 :( 30-40 c'mon the deuce!!! 2nd serve.... Holds :( Odds 1.97 Stan. C'mon the hold for a tb at least!

6-6 Holds to Love :) Odds 1.76 Kubot. Now a mb please :)

1**-0 C'mon Kubot
Had some of my lay taken at 1.41 but not all :(
1*-1 MB back :(

All out now
£102.11 on Both


Lay Lukasz Kubot 1.76 £444.62 £782.53 £337.91
Ref: 9161556930 Bet matched: 10:52 12-Oct-09
1.76 £0.70 £1.23 £0.53
Ref: 9161556930 Bet matched: 10:52 12-Oct-09
1.41 £75.26 £106.12 £30.86
Ref: 9161553103 Bet matched: 10:51 12-Oct-09
1.41 £5.34 £7.53 £2.19
Ref: 9161553103 Bet matched: 10:51 12-Oct-09
1.41 £6.52 £9.19 £2.67
Ref: 9161553103 Bet matched: 10:51 12-Oct-09
1.41 £12.00 £16.92 £4.92
Ref: 9161553103 Bet matched: 10:51 12-Oct-09
1.41 £2.80 £3.95 £1.15
Ref: 9161553103 Bet matched: 10:51 12-Oct-09
1.41 £2.54 £3.58 £1.04
Ref: 9161553103 Bet matched: 10:51 12-Oct-09
1.41 £123.35 £173.92 £50.57
Ref: 9161553103 Bet matched: 10:51 12-Oct-09



2-1**
3-1* MB should have waited :(
4**-1 Another MB really should have waited but a win is a win
5*-1 Odds 1.05 now :(
5-2** one MB back.
5-3* Is the comeback on the cards?????
5**-4 Will Kubot serve it out???
5*-5 MB!!!!! 1.02 in danger???? :o
5-6** OMG from 5-1!!!! Now I'm glad I got out!! Although 1.02 would have been nicer
5-7 Ace seals it 1 set all!!! Odds 1.45 on Stan

Well Well 1.02 Gubbed!!!

Wawrinka Wins 2-6 7-6(5) 7-6(3)
Profit: £102.11

Indiannapolis Colts v Tennessee Titans (American Football

Woke up this morning to a nice bank bolster :) Really fancied the Colts for this so decided to have a punt and go to bed. Got on before the off at 1.52.

Back Indianapolis Colts 1.52 378.14 Back 12-Oct-09 00:30 12-Oct-09 00:30 196.63
Indianapolis Colts 1.52 10.50 Back 12-Oct-09 00:30 12-Oct-09 00:30 5.46
Indianapolis Colts 1.52 17.38 Back 12-Oct-09 00:30 12-Oct-09 00:30 9.04
Indianapolis Colts 1.52 8.75 Back 12-Oct-09 00:30 12-Oct-09 00:30 4.55


Just for insurance I left a lay at 1.10 which would even up my green. Which was taken

Lay Indianapolis Colts 1.1 174.53 Lay 12-Oct-09 00:31 12-Oct-09 03:19 -17.45
Indianapolis Colts 1.1 398.61 Lay 12-Oct-09 00:31 12-Oct-09 03:19 -39.86


Cots win 31-9
Profit: £151.88

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